Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.091507 0.143906 0.206313 0.283467 0.374034 0.475093 0.594657
2026-01-04 0.032459 0.090238 0.176045 0.297428 0.453784 0.640238 0.872349
2026-01-11 0.014968 0.072578 0.174078 0.329754 0.540141 0.798932 1.128300
2026-01-18 0.005058 0.057234 0.169042 0.353830 0.613756 0.941364 1.365333
2026-01-25 0.000300 0.039674 0.152832 0.356729 0.655776 1.041880 1.549584
2026-02-01 NaN 0.019903 0.121485 0.329711 0.652309 1.081353 1.656291
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006540 0.090257 0.294849 0.632375 1.095656 1.728568
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001875 0.075063 0.283864 0.644665 1.150769 1.851105
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000479 0.069482 0.289808 0.681922 1.239258 2.016385
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.060562 0.286602 0.703747 1.305998 2.153206
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.047454 0.270328 0.702711 1.339862 2.246358
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.050985 0.294467 0.768516 1.468053 2.464073
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.054287 0.319626 0.838787 1.606390 2.700483
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053000 0.333026 0.889997 1.718794 2.904209
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.059703 0.367742 0.977385 1.882809 3.176476
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.062894 0.393154 1.049193 2.024921 3.420114
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.058010 0.396249 1.082900 2.112673 3.591714
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043185 0.367614 1.060421 2.118904 3.654127
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028258 0.330584 1.019821 2.096818 3.677045
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.021970 0.318890 1.023181 2.137979 3.784289
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.020422 0.325219 1.059832 2.228501 3.958688
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.016967 0.321806 1.077734 2.290914 4.094772
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011449 0.304465 1.067836 2.311003 4.172604